Two major bookmakers have given odds that the Republican Party will win control of the White House, Senate and House of Representatives in Tuesday’s election.
Star Sports offers odds of 6/4 (40%) for the GOP to win the presidency and both houses of Congress, compared to 7/1 (12.5%) for the Democrats to secure a clear victory. Furthermore, Betfair has odds of 6/5 (45%) on a Republican sweep, compared to 6/1 (14%) for the Democrats.
Currently, Democrats control not only the presidency but also the Senate, where 51 senators are in some way affiliated with the party compared to 49 Republicans. However, they lost control of the House in the 2022 midterm elections, with the Republican Party currently holding 220 seats to the Democrats’ 212. If Donald Trump wins the presidential election, having a Republican majority in both houses of Congress would significantly strengthen his power, making it much easier to turn policy proposals into law.
Talk to Information week, William Kedjanyi, political betting analyst at Star Sports, said: “Republicans may have even more to celebrate next week, with the prospect of taking control of the Senate, as well as maintaining their majority in the House of Representatives.
“We estimate a clear GOP sweep at 6/4, with Democrats at an improbable 7/1 to complete a trifecta with the feds.”
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Betfair spokesman Sam Rosbottom acknowledged that Republicans have a much better chance of succeeding than Democrats.
Addressing Information week, he said: “Republicans are looking at a big victory in the next election, hoping that Donald Trump becomes president again. He currently has a win probability of 8/13, giving him a 62% chance of winning.
“But there will also be crucial down-ballot races taking place next week, and Republicans are hoping to consolidate their majority in the House of Representatives, as well as break the slim majority Democrats have in the Senate.
“We crunched the numbers and give Republicans a 6 in 5 chance of winning the presidency and both houses of Congress. That gives them a 45 percent chance of doing so, far better than their Democratic rivals. .”
News week contacted Donald Trump’s presidential campaign and the Republican Party for comment via email on Friday.
On Friday, bookmakers Bet365 and PaddyPower both gave Trump odds of 4/7 (63.6%) to win the presidency on November 5, down from their October 21 odds of 1/2 (66.6%). 7%).
In the Senate, Republicans are widely expected to win the West Virginia seat currently held by independent Joe Manchin, a former Democrat who is not seeking re-election. However, Democrats are investing resources in Texas, where Rep. Colin Allred hopes to defeat Republican Sen. Ted Cruz.
Betting company Bonus Code Bets applied an artificial intelligence model to all 50 states for the presidential election. It concludes that Democratic candidate Kamala Harris is on track to win a narrow victory with 276 electoral college votes, ahead of 262 for Trump.
