With less than 47 days to go until November’s election, Vice President Harris and former President Trump are tied among likely voters in Pennsylvania, which could be the state that decides the outcome on Election Day.
Trump and Harris each garnered 49% of likely voters in the Keystone State, according to a new Marist poll.
Additionally, 90% of potential voters who said they had a preference for a candidate also said they strongly supported him or her.
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A new poll shows former President Trump and Vice President Harris tied in battleground Pennsylvania. (Brandon Bell/Getty Images)
“Pennsylvania is the Rust Belt state that attracts the most attention from presidential candidates, and for good reason,” said Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion. “It’s the biggest and most competitive state in the region. Winning Pennsylvania doesn’t guarantee the White House, but it goes a long way.”
In two other so-called “blue wall” states, Michigan and Wisconsin, Harris led Trump in the poll.
The vice president has a five-point lead in Michigan, 52% to Trump’s 47%. However, the gap is very narrow in Wisconsin, where she is only one point ahead, 50% to Trump’s 49%.
According to Miringoff, “of the three so-called blue wall states, Michigan is the one where there is a difference between Harris and Trump.”
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Former President Trump, a Republican presidential candidate, laughs as he answers a reporter’s question in Howell, Michigan. (Nic Antaya/Getty Images)
“The Michigan vote is driven by Trump’s high negative votes, with Vance certainly not helping the Republican ticket,” Miringoff added, referring to the 53% of likely Michigan voters who view Trump unfavorably.
Inflation is by far the top issue for most Pennsylvanians, with a third of those polled. While it is a campaign priority for Democrats nationwide, abortion ranks fourth among voters, with just 11 percent of those polled. It is trailed by immigration (15 percent) and preserving democracy (27 percent).
The distribution of major issues among Wisconsin voters was similar to that in Pennsylvania, but in Michigan, the issue of preserving democracy was most important to the largest number of voters.
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Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign rally in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Getty Images)
Michigan’s most likely voters cited the issue at 30%. Inflation was a close second at 29%. Immigration followed at 15%, while abortion received 10%.
In all three states, there is a gap of at least 20 points between Harris and Trump, with men voting more often for the former president and women tending to choose Harris.
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People vote in Madison, Wisconsin in the 2022 election. (Jim Vondruska/Getty Images)
While there is a gap between the two candidates, Trump’s problems with women appear to be greater than Harris’s with men. The gap between Trump and women is particularly wide in Michigan, where Harris leads him by a wide margin. In that state, the gap between Harris and Trump among likely female voters is 15 points.
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The tight polls come as Trump appears to be losing his lead in two critical states, according to the most recent data. Fox News Power RankingsNorth Carolina and Georgia, once considered Republican strongholds, are now considered swing states in the presidential race.
With these changes in the presidential race according to Fox News Power Rankings, Harris has taken the lead in the overall standings for the first time.
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