Vice President Kamala Harris is narrowing the gap with former President Donald Trump in Arizona, according to newly released poll results.
A poll released Tuesday by AARP shows the former president leading the vice president in Arizona by 2 percentage points among likely voters, with 49 percent of respondents supporting Trump and 47 percent supporting Harris.
In June, before President Joe Biden withdrew from the race and backed Harris, the same poll showed Trump leading in the state by 8 points, leading Biden among likely voters 45 percent to 37 percent. hundred.
Harris gained support in the new poll among voters aged 18 to 34 and voters over 65. Trump’s lead among seniors shrank from 8 points to just 1 point, while a 2-point Republican advantage among younger voters turned into a 9-point advantage for Democrats.
The AARP poll was conducted by Democratic firm Impact Research and Republican firm Fabrizio Ward, co-founded by Trump campaign pollster Tony Fabrizio.
The poll surveyed 600 likely Arizona voters by phone and online between September 24 and October 1. It has a margin of error of 4 percent.
News week contacted the Trump and Harris campaigns by email for comment.
Biden defeated Trump in Arizona by a razor-thin margin of less than 11,000 votes in 2020, becoming the first Democrat to win the state since former President Bill Clinton in 1996.
Harris and Trump have been neck and neck in most other recent polls in Arizona since the vice president became the Democratic nominee. However, Trump appears to have a slight overall advantage.
EVEYN HOCKSTEIN/PISCINE/AFP
An average of recent polls compiled by FiveThirtyEight showed the former president leading the state’s vice president by 1.3 percent as of Tuesday.
Three recently released polls in Arizona were conducted after the AARP poll, with two out of three polls giving the Republican candidate an advantage over the Democrat.
A survey published by Redfield & Wilton Strategies/The telegraph earlier this week, Trump led Harris by one point, while a survey from RMG Research, a company founded by pollster Scott Rasmussen, showed Trump by four points.
However, Harris leads Trump by one point in a Republican-sponsored On Point/Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Strategies poll released Tuesday and conducted earlier this week. All three polls surveyed likely Arizona voters.
Arizona is one of at least seven key states that could play a key role in determining the winner of this year’s presidential election.
FiveThirtyEight polling averages show that other swing states are currently split between candidates. Harris has a small lead over Trump in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada, while Trump has a small lead in Georgia and North Carolina.
The vice president continues to maintain a small but significant advantage over the former president in national polls, with the FiveThirtyEight average showing her by 2.7 points at press time.
