New Poll Shows Trump, Harris Tied in Key State: ‘As Close as It Gets’

New Poll Shows Trump, Harris Tied in Key State: ‘As Close as It Gets’

A new poll finds former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris tied in a crucial state, despite the former president’s previous lead of nearly double digits.

A Detroit News WDIV-TV poll, conducted after President Joe Biden withdrew from the 2024 race, found Trump and Harris tied with 41% of support in Michigan, while 6% of Michigan voters remain undecided.

The poll results reflect a major shift in support since a January poll found Trump leading Biden in the state by 8 points.

“This is as close as we can get,” Glengariff founder Richard Czuba said alongside the poll results.

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Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a campaign event at Westover High School in Fayetteville, North Carolina, on July 18, 2024. (Allison Joyce)

About 10 percent of respondents said they supported the state’s Natural Law Party candidate, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a factor that Czuba said could decide the election.

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“The reality is that no one should be putting out a poll in Michigan that doesn’t include Kennedy, because he’s a major factor here,” Czuba said. “He’s leading among independents, and in Michigan, we all know that they’re the ones who decide the election. And now they’re split, not two, but three, which really confuses the equation.”

Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer has been floated as a potential running mate for Harris, though the governor has said she will not run and will not leave her home state. The results showed that a Harris-Whitmer ticket would give Democrats a slight 3-point advantage in a hypothetical general election matchup against Trump and Sen. J.D. Vance.

Former President Donald Trump during a campaign event at Trump National Doral Golf Club in Miami, Fla., on Tuesday, July 9, 2024. (Eva Marie Uzcategui/Bloomberg)

Michigan voted Republican in every election from 1972 to 1988, but the state went blue in six consecutive presidential elections from 1992 to 2012.

Trump narrowly won the key state in the 2016 presidential election against former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, but was defeated in the next cycle by Biden.

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The Glengariff Group/The News and WDIV-TV survey was conducted July 22-24 with a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.