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Jalen hurts at all times TD (-110) FanDuel
Note: To cash an ATTD bet, a player must enter the end zone with the ball (as a receiver or runner), meaning passing TDs do not count.
With 10 rushing touchdowns in nine games this year, Jalen Hurts would be a near-automatic ATTD bet even at much shorter odds. Seeing it listed at an almost equal price in this market raises a few questions that come to mind:
- 1) What are we missing?
- 2) Is it better to bet on Hurts ATTD or take a higher bullish call on Hurts 2+ TD?
Over the past four weeks, Hurts has scored an absurd eight rushing touchdowns, including at least two each against the Giants, Bengals and Jaguars. In Week 9 against Jacksonville, he had 67 yards and a touchdown on 13 carries, and that could have been his worse field day over the past four weeks.
Hurts – who ran for 10, 13 and 15 touchdowns in 2021, 2022 and 2023, respectively – is on pace to reach a career high in rushing touchdowns despite the offseason retirement of Jason Kelce, who played a major role in Hurts’ Outstanding Success on Push-Push.
This part of the Eagles offense didn’t miss a beat with Cam Jurgens snapping the ball in place of Kelce, and until we saw the opposing defenses. constantly Stop this game, it will remain a must for Philadelphia.
The game against Washington provides even more reason to like Hurts. The Commanders have allowed 10 rushing touchdowns this year, and coach Dan Quinn’s defense is 29th in the NFL in yards per carry allowed at 4.9.
Washington’s D-run, which hasn’t been great all year, is also heading in the wrong direction: Over the past five weeks, Washington has given up at least 140 yards on the ground four times.
Between Hurts’ tears in the red zone recently and the struggles of Washington’s defense up front, we’re not only on Hurts ATTD, but Hurts 2+ TD.
Jalen hurts at all times TD (-110): 1 unit
Jalen hurts for more than 2 touchdowns (+550 to FD): 0.50 units
Brian Robinson Jr. Anytime TD (+135) FanDuel
As tempting as it is to just spend whatever we want to invest in the ATTD market on this play on Hurts, there has to be other quality bets for us, right?
On Washington’s side, the main threats – aside from star rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, of course – have been WR Terry McLaurin (six receiving touchdowns) and RB Brian Robinson Jr. (six rushing touchdowns).
The latter has captured our attention in the TNF despite three absences this year, including the last two from Washington due to a hamstring injury. Robinson Jr. has been a force in the red zone, scoring in five of his seven starts, and he will be active Thursday night for the first time since his team’s memorable Week 8 win over Chicago.
In addition to sitting out the last two weeks, Robinson missed his team’s loss to Baltimore, but he scored in every game he started from Weeks 3-7.
Alongside Daniels, who is already one of the best QBs in the league, Robinson has been effective both inside and outside the red zone this year, averaging 4.6 yards per carry .
The Eagles haven’t allowed many rushing touchdowns this year (a total of six, to be exact). But with Philly likely to try to emulate Pittsburgh, which held Daniels to 5 rushing yards on just three carries in a close Steelers victory last Sunday, there should be running lanes for Robinson in the red zone .
He’s a bit of a risk due to a hamstring injury, but we like him as much as any other member of the Commanders to find the end zone in this game.
Brian Robinson Jr. Anytime TD (+135): 0.75 units
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