Like other Democratic Senate candidates running in key presidential states, Casey touted her moderate, even Trump-aligned, credentials on the campaign trail and outperformed Harris (as well as other Democrats in presidential races). statewide). But he could be the only one of these Democratic candidates to lose. Sen. Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin and Rep. Elissa Slotkin of Michigan are both expected to win their races in states won by Trump. Meanwhile, Sen. Jacky Rosen and Rep. Ruben Gallego also maintain their leads in the U.S. Senate elections in Nevada and Arizona, respectively, although Trump is ahead in both states.
In some cases, it may be more accurate to say that Republican candidates underperformed Trump, more than Democrats outperformed Harris. For example, in Pennsylvania, Harris gets about 36,000 more votes than Casey, while Trump has more than 140,000 more votes than McCormick — meaning Trump voters weren’t necessarily splitting their tickets to support Casey, but that they were completely absent from the down elections. Much will surely be said in the days and weeks to come about this ticket split and what it could mean for the future strategies of both parties.